Tuesday, May 19, 2009

Talking Bull

The world's leading airlines are all buffeted by the double whammy of the economic recession and the influnza A flu. Singapore Airlines just reported a 92% plunge in its profit for the quarter ending March 2009. Cathay Pacific recorded a loss of more than a billion USD in 2008 and its revenue for the 1st quarter is down 22%. Japan Airlines reported a loss of 63.2 billion Yen for the year ended March 09 and is predicting negative results this year too. Qantas is forecasting its results for the year to June 09 will be less than half of that of last year.

Amidst all this gloom, there is one nascent airline that is very bullish. Air Asia X is talking about acquiring more planes and connecting to new destinations. It wants to increase its fleet from 4 to 8 planes and its destinations from 4 to 10. It is wishing for a revenue of 1 billion RM in 2010 and with a margin of 10 to 20% (very optimistic), is projecting itself to be among the top 100 companies on Bursa Malaysia. Its CEO is definitely very gung-ho and bullish. He is already counting the chickens even before the eggs are laid.